Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.038709 0.041794 0.045033 0.048691 0.052715 0.057012 0.061958
2025-05-04 0.033592 0.037923 0.042721 0.048452 0.055138 0.062726 0.072035
2025-05-11 0.030185 0.035224 0.041036 0.048280 0.057128 0.067661 0.081268
2025-05-18 0.027604 0.033073 0.039588 0.047993 0.058652 0.071861 0.089687
2025-05-25 0.025644 0.031416 0.038483 0.047874 0.060181 0.075977 0.098143
2025-06-01 0.023768 0.029672 0.037071 0.047157 0.060755 0.078755 0.104905
2025-06-08 0.022087 0.028031 0.035634 0.046234 0.060891 0.080840 0.110752
2025-06-15 0.020801 0.026803 0.034627 0.045767 0.061542 0.083587 0.117657
2025-06-22 0.019683 0.025717 0.033722 0.045343 0.062169 0.086271 0.124609
2025-06-29 0.018530 0.024511 0.032568 0.044470 0.062049 0.087804 0.129862
2025-07-06 0.017945 0.024046 0.032401 0.044971 0.063939 0.092409 0.140249
2025-07-13 0.017251 0.023386 0.031912 0.044956 0.065024 0.095823 0.148965
2025-07-20 0.016767 0.023005 0.031808 0.045512 0.067034 0.100849 0.160876
2025-07-27 0.016087 0.022308 0.031203 0.045268 0.067761 0.103860 0.169605
2025-08-03 0.015483 0.021688 0.030677 0.045104 0.068589 0.107066 0.178940
2025-08-10 0.014897 0.021066 0.030113 0.044838 0.069215 0.109951 0.187926
2025-08-17 0.014392 0.020543 0.029668 0.044728 0.070078 0.113280 0.198020
2025-08-24 0.013787 0.019839 0.028911 0.044068 0.069957 0.114854 0.204871
2025-08-31 0.013177 0.019101 0.028068 0.043217 0.069447 0.115681 0.210300
2025-09-07 0.012701 0.018553 0.027498 0.042787 0.069636 0.117774 0.218449
2025-09-14 0.012263 0.018046 0.026969 0.042396 0.069864 0.119939 0.226931
2025-09-21 0.011761 0.017418 0.026221 0.041590 0.069290 0.120538 0.232140
2025-09-28 0.011554 0.017251 0.026211 0.042053 0.071052 0.125732 0.247783